Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Airdrieonians vs St. Mirren B

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Mebude D.
Assist: Fisher S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Airdrieonians
15%
Draws
32%
St. Mirren B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Airdrieonians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • St. Mirren B haven't matched Airdrieonians's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Airdrieonians have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Airdrieonians, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Airdrieonians Clean Sheet 10%
St. Mirren B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Airdrieonians St. Mirren B
Matches Played 28 17
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.54 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 2.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Challenge Cup
Airdrieonians vs St. Mirren B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Airdrieonians Compare

Top Goalscorer Mebude D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.59

St. Mirren B Compare

Avg xG / game 2.13
Avg xA / game 1.3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Airdrieonians 30 / 100
St. Mirren B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Airdrieonians St. Mirren B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Mirren B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Mirren B let in goals in 100% of their last 17 matches.

Airdrieonians has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Airdrieonians's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Airdrieonians VS St. Mirren B
0.75 Goals Scored 2.8
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Airdrieonians

(Home)
26 Sept
Airdrieonians
7 : 1
Berwick
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Peterhead
1 : 2
Airdrieonians
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
St. Mirren B
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St. Mirren B

(Away)
26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4
St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Clydebank FC
2 : 1
St. Mirren B
08 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
St. Mirren B
25 Aug
East Fife
2 : 5
St. Mirren B
11 Aug
Clyde
1 : 4
St. Mirren B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)