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AJAC da Calheta vs Ultramarina Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Nacional 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2017 game between AJAC da Calheta and Ultramarina finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ultramarina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
AJAC da Calheta
35%
Draws
19%
Ultramarina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AJAC da Calheta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ultramarina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AJAC da Calheta's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
AJAC da Calheta Clean Sheet 20%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AJAC da Calheta Ultramarina
Matches Played 6 31
Wins 1 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
AJAC da Calheta vs Ultramarina
0:2
May 20, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs AJAC da Calheta
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AJAC da Calheta 40 / 100
Ultramarina 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AJAC da Calheta Ultramarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJAC da Calheta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AJAC da Calheta scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Ultramarina has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: AJAC da Calheta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ultramarina
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AJAC da Calheta

(Home)
17 Jun
AJAC da Calheta
2 : 2
Onze Unidos
10 Jun
AJAC da Calheta
0 : 2
Ultramarina
03 Jun
Vulcanico
1 : 2
AJAC da Calheta
31 May
AJAC da Calheta
2 : 3
Vulcanico
27 May
Onze Unidos
1 : 1
AJAC da Calheta
Page 1 of 2

Ultramarina

(Away)
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0
Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0
Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1
Ultramarina
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ultramarina 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Onze Unidos 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 AJAC da Calheta 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
4 Vulcanico 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
2 Academica Porto Novo 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Academico do Sal 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
4 Paulense 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Academica do Mindelo 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
3 Sporting da Brava 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Sport Sal-Rei 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams