Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ajax (Am) vs IJsselmeervogels

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ajax (Am) play IJsselmeervogels in the Derde Divisie 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ajax (Am) averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. IJsselmeervogels averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Ajax (Am) won 1, IJsselmeervogels won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Ajax (Am) and 0.93 for IJsselmeervogels. This points to a IJsselmeervogels double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ajax (Am)
6%
Draws
90%
IJsselmeervogels
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: IJsselmeervogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • IJsselmeervogels has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ajax (Am).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for IJsselmeervogels.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Derde Divisie 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 20%
IJsselmeervogels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax (Am) IJsselmeervogels
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs IJsselmeervogels
1:2
Oct 5, 2024 Derde Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs Ajax (Am)
4:3
Aug 11, 2003 KNVB Beker
IJsselmeervogels vs Ajax (Am)
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax (Am) Compare

Top Goalscorer van Son D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

IJsselmeervogels Compare

Top Goalscorer Beers J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax (Am) 10 / 100
IJsselmeervogels 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax (Am) IJsselmeervogels

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IJS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax (Am) scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

IJsselmeervogels let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Ajax (Am) went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

IJsselmeervogels lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS IJsselmeervogels
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1IJsselmeervogels34264498:3582
2Harkemase Boys34217674:4670
3Sportlust34207778:3767
4DVS '33 Ermelo34198778:5265
5Sparta Nijkerk341610868:5058
6USV Hercules341661265:5654
7VV DOVO341571243:3952
8Genemuiden341391252:4448
9Urk341521756:6747
10Eemdijk3411101364:6643
11TEC341191446:5642
12Rohda Raalte341171663:6840
13HSC '21341241850:6640
14Huizen341061844:6236
15Excelsior 3134991646:7136
16Ajax (Am)34981748:6435
17DEM34862043:8530
18HBC34172640:9210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HSV Hoek342010477:3370
2Kozakken Boys34197872:2964
3Blauw Geel34197873:4564
4VV Kloetinge34187966:4261
5Gemert341771057:5058
6Lisse341591055:4154
7UNA341581151:4853
8VVSB341561361:6151
9SteDoCo341391257:4648
10Meerssen341361544:5045
11Rijnvogels341361563:7245
12ASWH341261659:7342
13TOGB341181555:5341
14GOES349121353:6539
15OJC Rosmalen341161745:5839
16FC 's-Gravenzande34971851:6934
17Smitshoek34672153:9425
18HV & CV Quick34542542:10519