Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ajax (Am) vs Kampong

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
van Buuren B.

AI Match Summary

Kampong in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ajax (Am)
15%
Draws
85%
Kampong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kampong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ajax (Am) lately — more wins on the board than Kampong.
  • Kampong are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Ajax (Am) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kampong, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 16%
Kampong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax (Am) Kampong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.33 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2025 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs Kampong
0:1
May 31, 2025 Derde Divisie
Kampong vs Ajax (Am)
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax (Am) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kampong Compare

Top Goalscorer van Buuren B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax (Am) 15 / 100
Kampong 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax (Am) Kampong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kampong Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax (Am) scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Kampong let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Kampong has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ajax (Am) VS Kampong
1.13 Goals Scored 1.4
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 60%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax (Am)

(Home)
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0
Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4
Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1
Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2
Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0
Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 6

Kampong

(Away)
03 Sept
Kozakken Boys
4 : 0
Kampong
11 Jun
Staphorst
2 : 2
Kampong
07 Jun
Kampong
0 : 2
Staphorst
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1
Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2
Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Kampong 5
Ajax (Am) 2
VV SJC 2
Staphorst 6
Flevo Boys 1
Excelsior 31 8
Heino 0
Watergraafsmeer 1
SV Poortugaal 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 5
RKAVV Leidschendam 1
Groene Ster 2
Roosendaal 5
OJC Rosmalen 3
SV Orion 2
Xerxes DZB 3
Final
Kampong 2
Staphorst 4
Excelsior 31 3
Watergraafsmeer 2
FC 's-Gravenzande 3
Groene Ster 5
Roosendaal 5
Xerxes DZB 2