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Ajax (Am) vs VV DOVO Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Ajax (Am) Logo

Ajax (Am)

2 - 0
FT
VV DOVO Logo

VV DOVO

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Misa-Danso K.
65' Event
Buis T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ajax (Am) in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajax (Am).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ajax (Am)
15%
Draws
85%
VV DOVO
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV DOVO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ajax (Am) haven't matched VV DOVO's recent run of results.
  • Ajax (Am) are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 12%
VV DOVO Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax (Am) VV DOVO
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs VV DOVO
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Ajax (Am)
1:1
Jun 4, 2022 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs VV DOVO
3:2
Sep 11, 2021 Derde Divisie
VV DOVO vs Ajax (Am)
1:0
Feb 27, 2021 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs VV DOVO
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax (Am) Compare

Top Goalscorer Misa-Danso K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buis T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

VV DOVO Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax (Am) 35 / 100
VV DOVO 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax (Am) VV DOVO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax (Am)'s goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

VV DOVO let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: VV DOVO registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax (Am) VS VV DOVO
0 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax (Am)

(Home)
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0
Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4
Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1
Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2
Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0
Ajax (Am)
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VV DOVO

(Away)
26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0
VV DOVO
22 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
3 : 1
VV DOVO
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0
VV DOVO
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4
VV Hoogeveen
05 Sept
Purmersteijn
1 : 2
VV DOVO
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)