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Ajax U19 vs Aston Villa U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Nextgen Series 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Anderson D.
35' Event
Drennan M.
64' Event
Lewis B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Aston Villa U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ajax U19
30%
Draws
23%
Aston Villa U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ajax U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Aston Villa U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Aston Villa U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aston Villa U19, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • History favors Aston Villa U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Ajax U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax U19 Aston Villa U19
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 2.47 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2013 UEFA Youth League
Ajax U19 vs Aston Villa U19
1:2
Nov 22, 2011 Club Friendly
Aston Villa U19 vs Ajax U19
3:0
Aug 17, 2011 Club Friendly
Ajax U19 vs Aston Villa U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Anderson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Aston Villa U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Drennan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lewis B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax U19 29 / 100
Aston Villa U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax U19 Aston Villa U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax U19 scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Aston Villa U19 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Ajax U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ajax U19 VS Aston Villa U19
3.25 Goals Scored 3
1.88 Goals Conceded 5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax U19

(Home)
19 Sept
PSV U19
3 : 2
Ajax U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
29 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 2
Ajax U19
Page 1 of 7

Aston Villa U19

(Away)
08 Sept
Club Brugge U19
5 : 3
Aston Villa U19
09 Dec
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 1
Aston Villa U19
26 Nov
Aston Villa U19
2 : 2
AZ Alkmaar U19
05 Nov
Aston Villa U19
6 : 0
Skenderbeu Korca U19
21 Oct
Skenderbeu Korca U19
1 : 1
Aston Villa U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Chelsea U19 2
Barcelona U19 0
Rosenborg U19 0
Juventus U19 1
CSKA Moscow U19 3
PSV U19 0
Inter U19 0
Arsenal U19 1
Aston Villa U19 2
Ajax U19 1
Anderlecht U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 2
Tottenham U19 2
PSG U19 1
Liverpool U19 0
Sporting CP U19 4
Quarter-finals
Chelsea U19 4
Juventus U19 1
CSKA Moscow U19 0
Arsenal U19 1
Aston Villa U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 0
Tottenham U19 3
Sporting CP U19 5
Semi-finals
Chelsea U19 4
Arsenal U19 3
Aston Villa U19 3
Sporting CP U19 1
Final
Chelsea U19 0
Aston Villa U19 2
Arsenal U19 1
Sporting CP U19 3