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Ajax U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U19
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ajax U19 in this Divisie 1 U19 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajax U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Ajax U19
15%
Draws
40%
AZ Alkmaar U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar U19 have won more games recently than Ajax U19.
  • Win probability leans Ajax U19's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Divisie 1 U19 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Ajax U19 Clean Sheet 10%
AZ Alkmaar U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax U19 AZ Alkmaar U19
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 16 21
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 2.66 2.58
Goals Conceded 2 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Divisie 1 U19
Ajax U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
2:1
May 6, 2026 Divisie 1 U19
Ajax U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Divisie 1 U19
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Ajax U19
4:3
Oct 25, 2025 Divisie 1 U19
AZ Alkmaar U19 vs Ajax U19
4:1
Sep 27, 2025 Divisie 1 U19
Ajax U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax U19 38 / 100
AZ Alkmaar U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax U19 AZ Alkmaar U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax U19's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: AZ Alkmaar U19 conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: Ajax U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ajax U19 VS AZ Alkmaar U19
3.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax U19

(Home)
10 Oct
Zwolle U19
1 : 2
Ajax U19
19 Sept
PSV U19
3 : 2
Ajax U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
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AZ Alkmaar U19

(Away)
10 Oct
AZ Alkmaar U19
3 : 0
Feyenoord U19
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
1 : 0
Zwolle U19
05 Sept
AZ Alkmaar U19
2 : 0
PSV U19
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajax U19 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Nijmegen U19 5 4 0 1 21:15 12
3 AZ Alkmaar U19 6 3 1 2 7:3 10
4 Feyenoord U19 5 2 1 2 17:12 7
5 PSV U19 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
6 De Graafschap U19 6 1 3 2 13:13 6
7 Zwolle U19 6 2 0 4 7:13 6
8 Sparta Rotterdam U19 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
Promotion - Divisie 1 U19 (Play Offs)