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Ajax vs Bochum

World World

Club Friendly Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Caio Henrique
22'
Blind D.
46'
Sub
Caio Henrique In: Wijndal O.
Out: Caio Henrique

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ajax and Bochum finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ajax
15%
Draws
39%
Bochum
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajax carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Ajax taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ajax Clean Sheet 20%
Bochum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax Bochum
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.28 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Ajax vs Bochum
1:1
Dec 9, 1997 Europa League
Bochum vs Ajax
2:2
Nov 25, 1997 Europa League
Ajax vs Bochum
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bochum Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax 85 / 100
Bochum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax Bochum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Bochum conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ajax stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax VS Bochum
3.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 25%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax

(Home)
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1
Willem II
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5
Ajax
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3
PSV
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
27 Aug
Ajax
5 : 3
Sion
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Bochum

(Away)
12 Sept
Bochum
1 : 1
Greuther Furth
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
28 Aug
Bochum
0 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
23 Aug
Greuther Furth
1 : 2
Bochum
14 Aug
Braunschweig
0 : 1
Bochum
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