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Stadium Background

Ajax vs Bochum

World World

Club Friendly Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Caio Henrique
22'
Blind D.
46'
Sub
Caio Henrique In: Wijndal O.
Out: Caio Henrique

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ajax and Bochum finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ajax
28%
Draws
22%
Bochum
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ajax carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Ajax taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ajax Clean Sheet 20%
Bochum Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax Bochum
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Ajax vs Bochum
1:1
Dec 9, 1997 Europa League
Bochum vs Ajax
2:2
Nov 25, 1997 Europa League
Ajax vs Bochum
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Henrique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bochum Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax 49 / 100
Bochum 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax Bochum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ajax remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Bochum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ajax VS Bochum
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax

(Home)
26 Jul
Ajax
2 : 1
Burnley
23 Jul
Vojvodina
1 : 4
Ajax
18 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
15 Jul
Ajax
1 : 1
Bochum
10 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
AEK Larnaca
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Bochum

(Away)
25 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0
Bochum
21 Jul
Swansea
0 : 2
Bochum
15 Jul
Ajax
1 : 1
Bochum
11 Jul
Bochum
1 : 0
Antwerp
04 Jul
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
2 : 3
Bochum
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