Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ajax vs Burnley

World World

Club Friendly Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Bouwman A.
46'
Sub
Edwards M. In: Koleosho L.
Out: Edwards M.
46'
Sub
Bruun Larsen J. In: Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
Out: Bruun Larsen J.

AI Match Summary

Ajax in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajax.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ajax
6%
Draws
4%
Burnley
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ajax have won more games recently than Burnley.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ajax taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ajax Clean Sheet 20%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax Burnley
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 2
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Ajax vs Burnley
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouwman A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouazane A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Burnley Compare

Top Goalscorer Banel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax 85 / 100
Burnley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax Burnley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ajax scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Burnley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Ajax has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ajax VS Burnley
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax

(Home)
30 Jul
Ajax
4 : 1
Vojvodina
26 Jul
Ajax
2 : 1
Burnley
23 Jul
Vojvodina
1 : 4
Ajax
18 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
15 Jul
Ajax
1 : 1
Bochum
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Burnley

(Away)
29 Jul
Burnley
2 : 2
Espanyol
26 Jul
Ajax
2 : 1
Burnley
16 Jul
Real Salt Lake
4 : 1
Burnley
12 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 1
Burnley
10 Jul
FC Cincinnati
3 : 1
Burnley
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