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Ajax vs Burnley Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Bouwman A.
46'
Sub
Edwards M. In: Koleosho L.
Out: Edwards M.
46'
Sub
Bruun Larsen J. In: Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
Out: Bruun Larsen J.

AI Match Summary

Ajax in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajax.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ajax
35%
Draws
15%
Burnley
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajax have won more games recently than Burnley.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Ajax taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Ajax Clean Sheet 17%
Burnley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax Burnley
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 1
Draws 7 10
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.31 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.21 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Ajax vs Burnley
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouwman A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouazane A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Burnley Compare

Top Goalscorer Banel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax 84 / 100
Burnley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax Burnley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ajax scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Burnley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ajax stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax VS Burnley
3.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax

(Home)
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2
Excelsior
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1
Willem II
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5
Ajax
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3
PSV
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4
Ajax
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Burnley

(Away)
19 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Derby
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Wrexham
1 : 1
Burnley
05 Sept
Burnley
1 : 2
Bristol City
02 Sept
Burnley
1 : 1
Middlesbrough
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