Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ajax host Excelsior in the Eredivisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Ajax at 2.09 goals for, 1.19 against; Excelsior at 2.03 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, Ajax have won 1 to Excelsior's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.81) point toward Ajax. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ajax have won more games recently than Excelsior.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ajax | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.09 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ajax's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Excelsior conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Ajax went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ajax
(Home)Excelsior
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 16 |
| 2 | PSV | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 4 | Excelsior | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Twente | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Sittard | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 7 | G.A. Eagles | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 8 |
| 8 | Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Nijmegen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 7 |
| 10 | Groningen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 5 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 14 | Telstar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | 2 |
| 16 | Willem II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:14 | 2 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | 1 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:18 | 1 |
