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Ajax vs FC Volendam

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AI Match Summary

Ajax play FC Volendam in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ajax averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. FC Volendam averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Ajax won 3, FC Volendam won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 25, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Ajax and 1.00 for FC Volendam. This points to a Ajax double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ajax
33%
Draws
27%
FC Volendam
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajax has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Volendam.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Ajax.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ajax Clean Sheet 20%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax FC Volendam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Ajax vs FC Volendam
2:2
Jan 24, 2026 Eredivisie
Ajax vs FC Volendam
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Ajax
1:1
May 5, 2024 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Ajax
1:4
Nov 2, 2023 Eredivisie
Ajax vs FC Volendam
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrizo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edvardsen O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Volendam Compare

Top Goalscorer Yah G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muhren R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax 40 / 100
FC Volendam 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax FC Volendam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

FC Volendam let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ajax went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Volendam lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax VS FC Volendam
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%