Sport Picks
Ajax vs Heerenveen
Netherlands
Eredivisie Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam 
AI Match Summary
Ajax host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Heerenveen have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Ajax have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Ajax have won 2 to Heerenveen's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.19) point toward Ajax. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Heerenveen's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Ajax have produced (1.5).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ajax | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ajax's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Defensive concern: Heerenveen conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ajax stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ajax
(Home)Heerenveen
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
