Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Klaverboer B.
Own Goal
33'
33'
Ouazane A.
Assist: Caio Henrique
45'
45'
Trenskow J.
Assist: Kersten S.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie game between Ajax and Heerenveen finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ajax
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ajax carry the better recent record into this one.
- Ajax are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ajax Clean Sheet 18%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ajax | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.27 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Eredivisie
Ajax vs Heerenveen
2:2
May 17, 2026 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Ajax
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Eredivisie
Ajax vs Heerenveen
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Ajax
0:2
Aug 11, 2024 Eredivisie
Ajax vs Heerenveen
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ajax Compare
Top Goalscorer Ouazane A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Heerenveen Compare
Top Goalscorer Trenskow J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rivera M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ajax 85 / 100
Heerenveen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ajax Heerenveen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ajax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ajax's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Heerenveen conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ajax stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ajax VS Heerenveen
3.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ajax
(Home) 19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2 Excelsior
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1 Willem II
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5 Ajax
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4 Ajax
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2 Excelsior
15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1 Willem II
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
27 Aug
Ajax
5 : 3 Sion
16 Aug
Ajax
2 : 2 Heerenveen
Page 1 of 4
Heerenveen
(Away) 19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0 Telstar
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3 AZ Alkmaar
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2 Heerenveen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2 Zwolle
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2 Heerenveen
16 Aug
Ajax
2 : 2 Heerenveen
17 Jul
Club Brugge
2 : 3 Heerenveen
21 May
Utrecht
3 : 2 Heerenveen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
