Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ajax vs Olympiacos Piraeus

Europe Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Pirola L. In: Biancone G.
Out: Pirola L.
32'
Dolberg K.
45'
Costinha

AI Match Summary

Olympiacos Piraeus in this Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olympiacos Piraeus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Ajax
15%
Draws
18%
Olympiacos Piraeus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Very High Confidence
  • Olympiacos Piraeus haven't matched Ajax's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ajax's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ajax Clean Sheet 20%
Olympiacos Piraeus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax Olympiacos Piraeus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Ajax vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:0
Jan 28, 2026 Champions League
Ajax vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:2
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Ajax vs Olympiacos Piraeus
1:0
Nov 4, 1998 Champions League
Ajax vs Olympiacos Piraeus
2:0
Oct 21, 1998 Champions League
Olympiacos Piraeus vs Ajax
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Olympiacos Piraeus Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hezze S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax 85 / 100
Olympiacos Piraeus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax Olympiacos Piraeus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Ajax went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Olympiacos Piraeus's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ajax VS Olympiacos Piraeus
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax

(Home)
06 Aug
Ajax
3 : 1
Shelbourne
02 Aug
FC Volendam
1 : 3
Ajax
30 Jul
Ajax
4 : 1
Vojvodina
26 Jul
Ajax
2 : 1
Burnley
23 Jul
Vojvodina
1 : 4
Ajax
Page 1 of 6

Olympiacos Piraeus

(Away)
04 Aug
Olympiacos Piraeus
0 : 0
Nijmegen
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2
Olympiacos Piraeus
24 Jul
Antwerp
3 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
18 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
Olympiacos Piraeus
17 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
3 : 1
Sittard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23:4 24
2 Bayern Munich 8 7 0 1 22:8 21
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20:8 18
4 Tottenham 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
5 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22:14 16
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17:10 16
7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 15:9 16
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21:12 15
10 Inter 8 5 0 3 15:7 15
11 PSG 8 4 2 2 21:11 14
12 Newcastle Utd 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
14 Atl. Madrid 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
16 Bayer Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
17 Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19:17 11
18 Olympiacos Piraeus 8 3 2 3 10:14 11
19 Club Brugge 8 3 1 4 15:17 10
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8:14 10
22 Qarabag Agdam 8 3 1 4 13:21 10
23 Bodo/Glimt 8 2 3 3 14:15 9
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10:12 9
25 Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 9
26 Pafos 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
27 Royale Union SG 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 8
29 Ath Bilbao 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
31 FC Copenhagen 8 2 2 4 12:21 8
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 4
34 Slavia Prague 8 0 3 5 5:19 3
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 1
36 Kairat Almaty 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)