Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ajax host Thun in the Conference League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Ajax at 2.55 goals for, 1.14 against; Thun at 2.07 for, 2.38 against. Head-to-head, Ajax have won 2 to Thun's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2005, ending 2:4. xG projections (2.25 - 1.38) back Ajax to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Ajax lately — more wins on the board than Thun.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Ajax taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ajax | Thun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.55 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ajax scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Thun conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Ajax remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ajax
(Home)Thun
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 5 | Brighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 | Brann | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 7 | FC Copenhagen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Univ. Craiova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 9 | Mjallby | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 10 | St. Truiden | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 12 | Trabzonspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 13 | Hajduk Split | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 14 | Freiburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Atalanta | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 17 | Braga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 18 | Gent | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Riga FC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 20 | Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 21 | Borac Banja Luka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 23 | Jablonec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 24 | Aarhus | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 25 | Nordsjaelland | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 26 | KF Egnatia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 27 | Kairat Almaty | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 28 | CSKA Sofia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| 29 | Iberia 1999 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 30 | Pafos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 31 | Getafe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 32 | Hearts | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 33 | KuPS | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 34 | Midtjylland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 35 | Inter Escaldes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:11 | 0 |
