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Ajax W vs AZ Alkmaar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Visscher A.
30'
Groot P.
32' Event
Snoeijs K.

AI Match Summary

Ajax W in this Eredivisie Women matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajax W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ajax W
15%
Draws
28%
AZ Alkmaar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ajax W lately — more wins on the board than AZ Alkmaar W.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Ajax W taking it.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 20%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax W AZ Alkmaar W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs AZ Alkmaar W
5:1
May 8, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs AZ Alkmaar W
3:1
Dec 12, 2025 KNVB Beker Women
Ajax W vs AZ Alkmaar W
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Ajax W
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs AZ Alkmaar W
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer Snoeijs K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Visscher A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

AZ Alkmaar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoop M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax W 85 / 100
AZ Alkmaar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax W AZ Alkmaar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

AZ Alkmaar W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Ajax W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax W VS AZ Alkmaar W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax W

(Home)
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
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AZ Alkmaar W

(Away)
04 Oct
De Graafschap W
3 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)