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Ajax W vs De Graafschap W Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Ajax W Logo

Ajax W

1 - 0
FT
De Graafschap W Logo

De Graafschap W

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kip X. In: Thomas K.
Out: Kip X.
58'
Sub
Smits J. In: Deitelzweig K.
Out: Smits J.
58'
Sub
Snoeijs K. In: van Hensbergen J.
Out: Snoeijs K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women game between Ajax W and De Graafschap W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ajax W
15%
Draws
34%
De Graafschap W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • De Graafschap W haven't matched Ajax W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 20%
De Graafschap W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax W De Graafschap W
Matches Played 28 10
Wins 17 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.07 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs De Graafschap W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Hensbergen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

De Graafschap W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax W 32 / 100
De Graafschap W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax W De Graafschap W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

De Graafschap W let in goals in 70% of their last 10 matches.

Ajax W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: De Graafschap W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ajax W VS De Graafschap W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax W

(Home)
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Ajax W
Page 1 of 6

De Graafschap W

(Away)
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
20 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 3
De Graafschap W
13 Sept
De Graafschap W
2 : 3
Den Haag W
06 Sept
Ajax W
1 : 0
De Graafschap W
23 Aug
De Graafschap W
1 : 0
Heerenveen W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 6 6 0 0 27:3 18
2 Ajax W 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
3 AZ Alkmaar W 6 4 0 2 9:13 12
4 PSV W 6 3 1 2 14:8 10
5 Heerenveen W 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
6 Den Haag W 6 2 1 3 12:22 7
7 PEC Zwolle W 6 2 0 4 11:15 6
8 De Graafschap W 6 2 0 4 7:12 6
9 Feyenoord W 6 2 0 4 8:16 6
10 Utrecht W 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)