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Ajax W vs Den Haag W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kees S.
Assist: Spitse S.
27' Event
te Brake S.
Assist: Thomas K.
30' Event
Van Egmond A.
Assist: Bol F.

AI Match Summary

Ajax W in this Eredivisie Women matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajax W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ajax W
15%
Draws
31%
Den Haag W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ajax W lately — more wins on the board than Den Haag W.
  • Win probability leans Ajax W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ajax W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 17%
Den Haag W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax W Den Haag W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.14 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Den Haag W
7:1
Jan 25, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Den Haag W vs Ajax W
0:3
Sep 6, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Den Haag W
6:0
Mar 30, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Den Haag W
4:0
Nov 3, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Den Haag W vs Ajax W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer te Brake S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kees S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Den Haag W Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Egmond A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax W 84 / 100
Den Haag W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax W Den Haag W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ajax W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Den Haag W has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ajax W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ajax W VS Den Haag W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax W

(Home)
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
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Den Haag W

(Away)
04 Oct
Den Haag W
0 : 3
PSV W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
20 Sept
Den Haag W
2 : 2
Heerenveen W
13 Sept
De Graafschap W
2 : 3
Den Haag W
06 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 4
Den Haag W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)