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Ajax W vs Malmo FF W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Europa Cup Women Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the UEFA Europa Cup Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Ajax W at 2.04 goals for, 0.93 against; Malmo FF W at 1.93 for, 0.76 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.81, favoring Ajax W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ajax W
15%
Draws
42%
Malmo FF W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ajax W lately — more wins on the board than Malmo FF W.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Ajax W taking it.
  • Ajax W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 11%
Malmo FF W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax W Malmo FF W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.04 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax W 83 / 100
Malmo FF W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax W Malmo FF W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ajax W scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Ajax W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Malmo FF W let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.

Malmo FF W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ajax W VS Malmo FF W
2.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax W

(Home)
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
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Malmo FF W

(Away)
04 Oct
Malmo FF W
1 : 0
Rosengard W
30 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
St. Polten W
27 Sept
IF Brommapojkarna W
3 : 1
Malmo FF W
23 Sept
St. Polten W
0 : 2
Malmo FF W
18 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
Djurgarden W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
PSV W -
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
Real Sociedad W -
Fenerbahce W -
Brann W -
Czarni Sosnowiec W -
Sparta Prague W -
Torreense W -
Myjava W -
Hammarby W -
Ajax W -
Malmo FF W -
Rosenborg W -
Brondby W -
Wolfsburg W -
Feyenoord W -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -