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Ajax W vs PSV W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel
Ajax W Logo

Ajax W

Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
PSV W Logo

PSV W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ajax W host PSV W in the Eredivisie Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. PSV W have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Ajax W have conceded 0.93 and scored 2.04. Head-to-head, Ajax W have won 1 to PSV W's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.38, favoring PSV W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ajax W
15%
Draws
39%
PSV W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajax W haven't matched PSV W's recent run of results.
  • Ajax W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 17%
PSV W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajax W PSV W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.04 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Eredivisie Cup Women
PSV W vs Ajax W
3:0
Apr 5, 2026 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Ajax W
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs PSV W
2:1
May 21, 2025 Eredivisie Cup Women
PSV W vs Ajax W
5:1
Mar 22, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PSV W vs Ajax W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajax W 84 / 100
PSV W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajax W PSV W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax W scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ajax W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

PSV W has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ajax W VS PSV W
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajax W

(Home)
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
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PSV W

(Away)
04 Oct
Den Haag W
0 : 3
PSV W
30 Sept
Fortuna Hjorring W
0 : 0
PSV W
26 Sept
PSV W
4 : 0
De Graafschap W
23 Sept
PSV W
1 : 0
Fortuna Hjorring W
19 Sept
PSV W
0 : 4
Twente W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)