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AJEL vs Ouakam

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
AJEL Logo

AJEL

1 - 0
FT
Ouakam Logo

Ouakam

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between AJEL and Ouakam finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AJEL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AJEL
30%
Draws
31%
Ouakam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AJEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AJEL come out ahead of Ouakam on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on AJEL taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
AJEL Clean Sheet 68%
Ouakam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AJEL Ouakam
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 18
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 0.9 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 1
AJEL vs Ouakam
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs AJEL
1:2
May 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Ouakam vs AJEL
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Ligue 1
AJEL vs Ouakam
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AJEL 46 / 100
Ouakam 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AJEL Ouakam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AJEL found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

AJEL has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ouakam let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

AJEL VS Ouakam
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AJEL

(Home)
04 Jun
Generation Foot
0 : 1
AJEL
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Teungueth
0 : 0
AJEL
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Ouakam

(Away)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Ouakam
2 : 3
Generation Foot
17 May
Linguere
1 : 1
Ouakam
13 May
Ouakam
2 : 0
US Goree
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)