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AJEL vs Teungueth

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between AJEL and Teungueth finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teungueth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
AJEL
20%
Draws
45%
Teungueth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Teungueth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • AJEL carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Teungueth are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 18.8%
AJEL Clean Sheet 26%
Teungueth Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AJEL Teungueth
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 14
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 0.9 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Teungueth vs AJEL
0:0
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
AJEL vs Teungueth
0:2
Apr 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Teungueth vs AJEL
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 Ligue 1
AJEL vs Teungueth
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AJEL 30 / 100
Teungueth 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AJEL Teungueth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teungueth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AJEL scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: AJEL stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Teungueth has conceded goals in 13% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

AJEL VS Teungueth
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AJEL

(Home)
04 Jun
Generation Foot
0 : 1
AJEL
22 May
AJEL
2 : 1
Linguere
17 May
US Goree
2 : 1
AJEL
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Teungueth
0 : 0
AJEL
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Teungueth

(Away)
13 Sept
Teungueth
1 : 0
Canchungo
05 Sept
Canchungo
0 : 1
Teungueth
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 0
Teungueth
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)