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Ajman vs Ittihad Kalba Prediction & H2H Stats

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League Ajman Stadium, Ajman
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Tetteh B.
Assist: Carlos Alberto
32'
Ghoddos S.
42' Event
Carlos Alberto
Assist: Ghoddos S.

AI Match Summary

Ittihad Kalba in this UAE League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ittihad Kalba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ajman
15%
Draws
34%
Ittihad Kalba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ajman lately — more wins on the board than Ittihad Kalba.
  • Ajman are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular UAE League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ittihad Kalba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ajman Clean Sheet 18%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ajman Ittihad Kalba
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 4
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 UAE League
Ajman vs Ittihad Kalba
2:3
Feb 7, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Ajman
1:3
Jan 3, 2026 UAE League
Ajman vs Ittihad Kalba
0:1
May 13, 2025 UAE League
Ajman vs Ittihad Kalba
2:3
Jan 5, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Ajman
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ajman Compare

Top Goalscorer Azaro W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lithierry
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ittihad Kalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Tetteh B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carlos Alberto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ajman 76 / 100
Ittihad Kalba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ajman Ittihad Kalba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ittihad Kalba let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Ajman found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Ajman has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ajman VS Ittihad Kalba
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ajman

(Home)
19 Sept
Ajman
3 : 2
Al Sharjah
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
29 Aug
Al Jazira
3 : 0
Ajman
22 Aug
Ajman
4 : 3
Hatta
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Ittihad Kalba

(Away)
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
28 Aug
United FC
4 : 1
Ittihad Kalba
21 Aug
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 3
Al Wasl
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jazira 5 4 1 0 11:2 13
2 Al Ain 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
3 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
4 Al Wasl 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
5 Ajman 5 3 0 2 11:12 9
6 Al Wahda 5 3 0 2 6:5 9
7 Al Sharjah 5 3 0 2 10:7 9
8 United FC 5 2 1 2 12:13 7
9 Al Nasr 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
10 Ittihad Kalba 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
11 Khorfakkan 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
12 Al Dhafra 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
13 Hatta 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
14 Bani Yas 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)