Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2012

Shakhtar Bulat

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ak Bulak play Shakhtar Bulat in the First Division 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ak Bulak averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Shakhtar Bulat averaged 1.86 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. In past meetings, Ak Bulak won 1, Shakhtar Bulat won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 13, 2013 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.10 for Ak Bulak and 1.24 for Shakhtar Bulat. This points to a Ak Bulak double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Ak Bulak

23%

Draws

37%

Shakhtar Bulat

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Ak Bulak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Ak Bulak picked up more points recently compared to Shakhtar Bulat.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.10 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Ak Bulak Clean Sheet 19%

Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ak Bulak	Shakhtar Bulat
Matches Played	30	43
Wins	12	17
Draws	5	6
Losses	13	20
Goals Scored	1.47	1.86
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2013 First League

Shakhtar Bulat vs Ak Bulak

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

1:4

Apr 17, 2013 First League

Ak Bulak vs Shakhtar Bulat

Possession: 44% - 40% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Oct 20, 2012 First League

Ak Bulak vs Shakhtar Bulat

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Jul 22, 2012 First League

Shakhtar Bulat vs Ak Bulak

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ak Bulak 40 / 100

Shakhtar Bulat 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ak Bulak Shakhtar Bulat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ak Bulak or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ak Bulak attacking → ← attacking Shakhtar Bulat

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ak Bulak scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Shakhtar Bulat let in goals in 81% of their last 43 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ak Bulak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Shakhtar Bulat lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 57

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ile-Saulet	30	17	10	3	52:20	61
2	Vostok Oskemen	30	16	9	5	40:21	57
3	Zhenis	30	16	9	5	38:17	57
4	Bayterek Astana	30	14	11	5	39:19	53
5	FK Kyran	30	14	6	10	51:38	48
6	Spartak Semey	30	14	4	12	38:45	46
7	Shakhtar Bulat	30	12	10	8	30:23	46
8	Kaspij Aktau	30	12	7	11	39:31	43
9	Ak Bulak	30	11	8	11	34:29	41
10	Taraz-Karatau 2	30	11	8	11	33:28	41
11	Kyzylzhar	30	11	7	12	36:43	40
12	FC Ekibastuz	30	11	4	15	45:43	37
13	Kairat Almaty 2	30	9	9	12	37:41	36
14	Aktobe Zhas	30	8	2	20	31:62	26
15	CSKA Almaty	30	4	6	20	18:55	18
16	Shymkent	30	3	4	23	20:66	13