Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Akademik Svishtov vs Etar II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Akademik Svishtov play Etar II in the Third League - North-West. Akademik Svishtov are favorites here. Recently, Akademik Svishtov averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Etar II averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Akademik Svishtov won 4, Etar II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Akademik Svishtov and 0.69 for Etar II. This points to a Akademik Svishtov double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Akademik Svishtov
15%
Draws
27%
Etar II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akademik Svishtov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Akademik Svishtov picked up more points recently compared to Etar II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Akademik Svishtov Clean Sheet 28%
Etar II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akademik Svishtov Etar II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Akademik Svishtov
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - North-West
Akademik Svishtov vs Etar II
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Akademik Svishtov
1:0
Sep 14, 2024 Third League - North-West
Akademik Svishtov vs Etar II
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Akademik Svishtov
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akademik Svishtov 58 / 100
Etar II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akademik Svishtov Etar II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akademik Svishtov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Akademik Svishtov & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Akademik Svishtov attacking → ← attacking Etar II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akademik Svishtov scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Etar II let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Akademik Svishtov went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Etar II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 38
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lokomotiv Mezdra22191262:2058
2Akademik Svishtov22173240:1154
3Kom Berkovitsa22136346:2245
4Bdin Vidin22141757:2643
5Partizan Cerven Brjag2286825:2530
6Pavlikeni22931029:2430
7Etar II2285932:3129
8Yantra Polski Trambesh22661037:4724
9OFK Levski22651132:3523
10Troyan22511620:5616
11Juventus Malchika22211914:724
12FC Lovech22601618:4318