Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Akademik Svishtov vs Troyan

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Akademik Svishtov play Troyan in the Third League - North-West. Akademik Svishtov are favorites here. Recently, Akademik Svishtov averaged 2.63 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. Troyan averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Akademik Svishtov won 2, Troyan won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Akademik Svishtov and 0.94 for Troyan. This points to a Akademik Svishtov double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Akademik Svishtov
6%
Draws
4%
Troyan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Akademik Svishtov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Akademik Svishtov has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Troyan.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Akademik Svishtov.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - North-West provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Akademik Svishtov Clean Sheet 20%
Troyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akademik Svishtov Troyan
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 21 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Third League - North-West
Akademik Svishtov vs Troyan
4:1
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - North-West
Troyan vs Akademik Svishtov
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akademik Svishtov 85 / 100
Troyan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akademik Svishtov Troyan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akademik Svishtov scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Troyan let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Akademik Svishtov went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Troyan lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akademik Svishtov VS Troyan
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotiv Mezdra22191262:2058
2Akademik Svishtov22173240:1154
3Kom Berkovitsa22136346:2245
4Bdin Vidin22141757:2643
5Partizan Cerven Brjag2286825:2530
6Pavlikeni22931029:2430
7Etar II2285932:3129
8Yantra Polski Trambesh22661037:4724
9OFK Levski22651132:3523
10Troyan22511620:5616
11Juventus Malchika22211914:724
12FC Lovech22601618:4318