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Akademiya Ontustik vs Baykonur Kyzylorda

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Narkulov K.
23' Event
Abilov D.
Penalty Missed
41' Event
Narzilda B.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Akademiya Ontustik and Baykonur Kyzylorda finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Akademiya Ontustik
6%
Draws
4%
Baykonur Kyzylorda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Akademiya Ontustik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Akademiya Ontustik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Akademiya Ontustik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 17%
Baykonur Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akademiya Ontustik Baykonur Kyzylorda
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2022 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Baykonur Kyzylorda
2:2
Jun 25, 2022 First League
Baykonur Kyzylorda vs Akademiya Ontustik
0:3
Oct 3, 2021 First League
Baykonur Kyzylorda vs Akademiya Ontustik
3:0
Jun 19, 2021 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Baykonur Kyzylorda
4:0
Sep 25, 2020 First League
Baykonur Kyzylorda vs Akademiya Ontustik
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akademiya Ontustik Compare

Top Goalscorer Narkulov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serikkul R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Baykonur Kyzylorda Compare

Top Goalscorer Narzilda B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhusupov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akademiya Ontustik 84 / 100
Baykonur Kyzylorda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akademiya Ontustik Baykonur Kyzylorda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Akademiya Ontustik scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Baykonur Kyzylorda has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Akademiya Ontustik stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akademiya Ontustik VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Akademiya Ontustik

(Home)
17 Jul
Tobol 2
2 : 3
Akademiya Ontustik
09 Jul
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 2
Arys
02 Jul
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
25 Jun
Jaiyq
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
18 Jun
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
Page 1 of 7

Baykonur Kyzylorda

(Away)
05 Nov
Baykonur Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
29 Oct
Baykonur Kyzylorda
0 : 3
FC Astana 2
22 Oct
Baykonur Kyzylorda
2 : 1
Shakhtar Bulat
16 Oct
Kaisar Kyzylorda
4 : 0
Baykonur Kyzylorda
09 Oct
Baykonur Kyzylorda
0 : 4
Turkistan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717
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