Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Naumets V.
27'
27'
Khaldar A.
Assist: Nasibov R.
45'
45'
Amir Z.
Assist: Astanov E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-4. This leg finished 2-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
15%
41%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akademiya Ontustik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ordabasy lately — more wins on the board than Akademiya Ontustik.
- Model gives Ordabasy a 41% chance of winning this.
- Ordabasy arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ordabasy, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 11%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Akademiya Ontustik | Ordabasy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 25 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 8, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Akademiya Ontustik vs Ordabasy
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Akademiya Ontustik Compare
Top Goalscorer Khaldar A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Ordabasy Compare
Top Goalscorer Amir Z.
2 Goals Assists Leader Naumets V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Akademiya Ontustik 27 / 100
Ordabasy 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Akademiya Ontustik Ordabasy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Akademiya Ontustik's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.
Akademiya Ontustik has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Ordabasy has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Akademiya Ontustik VS Ordabasy
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Akademiya Ontustik
(Home) 17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0 Jaiyq
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1 Akademiya Ontustik
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1 Aktobe 2
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2 Akademiya Ontustik
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2 FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0 Jaiyq
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1 Aktobe 2
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2 FC Ekibastuz
06 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 1 Khan Tengri
23 Jul
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1 FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 4
Ordabasy
(Away) 17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3 Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0 FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1 Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0 Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2 Ordabasy
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3 Ordabasy
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1 Ordabasy
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2 Ordabasy
08 Aug
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 4 Ordabasy
26 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1 Ordabasy
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -
