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Akademiya Ontustik vs Turan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Akademiya Ontustik host Turan in the First League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Akademiya Ontustik at 1.57 goals for, 1.37 against; Turan at 2.37 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor Turan slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.69, favoring Turan. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Akademiya Ontustik
20%
Draws
45%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Turan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Turan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Akademiya Ontustik Clean Sheet 13%
Turan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akademiya Ontustik Turan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.57 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 First League
Turan vs Akademiya Ontustik
1:2
Sep 21, 2023 First League
Turan vs Akademiya Ontustik
3:2
Jun 1, 2023 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Turan
0:5
Oct 23, 2020 First League
Akademiya Ontustik vs Turan
0:0
Jul 10, 2020 First League
Turan vs Akademiya Ontustik
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akademiya Ontustik 11 / 100
Turan 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akademiya Ontustik Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akademiya Ontustik scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Turan let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Akademiya Ontustik has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Akademiya Ontustik VS Turan
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Akademiya Ontustik

(Home)
08 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
2 : 0
Akademiya Ontustik
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
10 Sept
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
27 Aug
Kaspij Aktau 2
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
Page 1 of 6

Turan

(Away)
09 Oct
Jaiyq
1 : 1
Turan
18 Sept
Turan
4 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
04 Sept
Kaspij Aktau 2
0 : 3
Turan
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 24 17 6 1 67:13 57
3 Turan 24 16 3 5 52:22 51
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 24 9 5 10 22:27 32
7 Taraz 24 8 7 9 31:33 31
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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