Sport Picks
AKAS vs Ertis Pavlodar Prediction & H2H Stats
Kazakhstan
First League 2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Ertis Pavlodar in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ertis Pavlodar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- AKAS have won more games recently than Ertis Pavlodar.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Ertis Pavlodar have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AKAS | Ertis Pavlodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AKAS Compare
Ertis Pavlodar Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AKAS scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Ertis Pavlodar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.33 goals.
Solid form: AKAS remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
AKAS
(Home)Ertis Pavlodar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 74:27 | 68 |
| 2 | Ertis Pavlodar | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 71:20 | 61 |
| 3 | Altai | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:23 | 55 |
| 4 | Shakhter Karagandy | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 61:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Zhetisay | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 44:35 | 42 |
| 6 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 58:42 | 40 |
| 7 | Akademiya Ontustik | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 44:44 | 39 |
| 8 | Taraz | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 43:38 | 35 |
| 9 | AKAS | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 42:39 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Ekibastuz | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 36:60 | 28 |
| 11 | SD Family | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 33:75 | 23 |
| 12 | Khan Tengri | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Aktobe 2 | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 34:65 | 16 |
| 14 | Turkistan | 26 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 16:80 | 9 |
