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Stadium Background

AKAS vs Kairat Almaty 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Zhas Kyran Stadium, Almaty
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Match Events

17' Event
Vasilchenko D.
Assist: Eleusov M.
31'
Primberdiev S.
45'
Abdrakhmanov A.

AI Match Summary

AKAS in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AKAS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
AKAS
20%
Draws
74%
Kairat Almaty 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty 2 have won more games recently than AKAS.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AKAS Clean Sheet 10%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AKAS Kairat Almaty 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 20
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.53 2.61
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2025 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs AKAS
3:0
May 28, 2025 First League
AKAS vs Kairat Almaty 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AKAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasilchenko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gridin S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AKAS 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 2 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AKAS Kairat Almaty 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat Almaty 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AKAS scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kairat Almaty 2 let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: AKAS stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kairat Almaty 2
0 Goals Scored 3.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AKAS

(Home)
24 Oct
AKAS
1 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
16 Oct
Taraz
3 : 1
AKAS
02 Oct
AKAS
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
26 Sept
Zhetisay
2 : 1
AKAS
18 Sept
AKAS
1 : 1
Altai
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Kairat Almaty 2

(Away)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
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