Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AKAS vs Taraz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Zhas Kyran Stadium, Almaty
AKAS Logo

AKAS

3 - 1
FT
Taraz Logo

Taraz

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kriventsev P.
Assist: Eleusov M.
6'
Zhaksymbetov M.
11'
Ilyasov K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AKAS in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AKAS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
AKAS
30%
Draws
62%
Taraz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Taraz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Taraz have won more games recently than AKAS.
  • Model gives Taraz a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AKAS Clean Sheet 18%
Taraz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AKAS Taraz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2025 First League
Taraz vs AKAS
3:1
Jul 10, 2025 First League
AKAS vs Taraz
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AKAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Kriventsev P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sautov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kemelbek S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AKAS 28 / 100
Taraz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AKAS Taraz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taraz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AKAS scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Taraz conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: AKAS remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Taraz
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AKAS

(Home)
24 Oct
AKAS
1 : 2
Kaspij Aktau
16 Oct
Taraz
3 : 1
AKAS
02 Oct
AKAS
1 : 2
Akademiya Ontustik
26 Sept
Zhetisay
2 : 1
AKAS
18 Sept
AKAS
1 : 1
Altai
Page 1 of 6

Taraz

(Away)
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
14 Aug
Taraz
0 : 0
Turan
07 Aug
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Taraz
30 Jul
Taraz
2 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
24 Jul
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
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