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Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Akhmat Grozny host Baltika in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Baltika have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Akhmat Grozny have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Akhmat Grozny have won 1 to Baltika's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.31) point toward Akhmat Grozny. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Akhmat Grozny
30%
Draws
31%
Baltika
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akhmat Grozny

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Baltika at 1.59 per game, Akhmat Grozny at 1.38.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 18%
Baltika Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akhmat Grozny Baltika
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika
1:1
Feb 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Baltika vs Akhmat Grozny
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Baltika vs Akhmat Grozny
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akhmat Grozny 32 / 100
Baltika 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akhmat Grozny Baltika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltika Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Akhmat Grozny's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Baltika's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Akhmat Grozny stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akhmat Grozny VS Baltika
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Akhmat Grozny

(Home)
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 6

Baltika

(Away)
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3
Baltika
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)