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Akhmat Grozny vs Dynamo Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Akhmat Grozny have averaged 1.36 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Dynamo Moscow's 1.83 scored and 0.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Akhmat Grozny slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 3, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.56) back Dynamo Moscow to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Akhmat Grozny
20%
Draws
60%
Dynamo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dynamo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dynamo Moscow lately — more wins on the board than Akhmat Grozny.
  • Model gives Dynamo Moscow a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Dynamo Moscow arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Akhmat Grozny, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 15%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akhmat Grozny Dynamo Moscow
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.36 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
3:0
Nov 30, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Dynamo Moscow
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
2:2
Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Dynamo Moscow vs Akhmat Grozny
1:1
Dec 2, 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Dynamo Moscow
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akhmat Grozny 10 / 100
Dynamo Moscow 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akhmat Grozny Dynamo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Akhmat Grozny scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Dynamo Moscow has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Akhmat Grozny remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Akhmat Grozny VS Dynamo Moscow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Akhmat Grozny

(Home)
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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Dynamo Moscow

(Away)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)