Sport Picks
Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh Prediction & H2H Stats
Russia
Russian Cup Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj 
Match Events
1'
1'
Melkadze G.
23'
23'
Kovalev A.
31'
31'
Cacintura E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akhmat Grozny
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Akhmat Grozny carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Akhmat Grozny's way, sitting at 60%.
- Akhmat Grozny have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Fakel Voronezh, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 68%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Akhmat Grozny | Fakel Voronezh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 Russian Cup
Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh
2:1
Aug 10, 2026 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
0:0
Oct 18, 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh
2:3
May 25, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Akhmat Grozny Compare
Top Goalscorer Melkadze G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cacintura E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Fakel Voronezh Compare
Top Goalscorer Alshin I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Akhmat Grozny 68 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Akhmat Grozny Fakel Voronezh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Akhmat Grozny Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Akhmat Grozny scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Fakel Voronezh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Akhmat Grozny stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Akhmat Grozny VS Fakel Voronezh
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Akhmat Grozny
(Home) 17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
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13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
22 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
4 : 1 FK Rostov
18 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
2 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
02 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 2 Spartak Moscow
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Fakel Voronezh
(Away) 16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
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16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
18 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
2 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
15 Aug
CSKA Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
02 Aug
Krasnodar
3 : 2 Fakel Voronezh
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
