Sport Picks
Akhmat Grozny vs Krylya Sovetov Samara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Premier League Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj 
Match Events
15'
15'
Oleynikov I.
Assist: Kramaric M.
29'
29'
Vityugov M.
36'
36'
Sadulaev L.
Assist: Cacintura E.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Akhmat Grozny and Krylya Sovetov Samara finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Akhmat Grozny come out ahead of Krylya Sovetov Samara on wins alone.
- Krylya Sovetov Samara are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 11%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Akhmat Grozny | Krylya Sovetov Samara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
3:3
Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Akhmat Grozny
2:2
Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Akhmat Grozny vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Akhmat Grozny
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Akhmat Grozny Compare
Top Goalscorer Sadulaev L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cacintura E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare
Top Goalscorer Oleynikov I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Chernov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Akhmat Grozny 22 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Akhmat Grozny Krylya Sovetov Samara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Krylya Sovetov Samara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Krylya Sovetov Samara let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Akhmat Grozny found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Akhmat Grozny went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Akhmat Grozny VS Krylya Sovetov Samara
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Akhmat Grozny
(Home) 11 Oct
Akhmat Grozny
0 : 0 Baltika
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Akhmat Grozny
0 : 0 Baltika
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
22 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
4 : 1 FK Rostov
18 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
2 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara
(Away) 10 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 1 Spartak Moscow
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0 Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
23 Aug
Akron Togliatti
0 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
04 Aug
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 2 Krylya Sovetov Samara
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:18 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
