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Akhmat Grozny vs Rodina Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Akhmat-Arena, Groznyj
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Akhmat Grozny host Rodina Moscow in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Rodina Moscow have shipped 1.96 goals a game lately, while Akhmat Grozny have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.39. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.44, favoring Akhmat Grozny. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Akhmat Grozny
20%
Draws
40%
Rodina Moscow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Akhmat Grozny are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 16%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akhmat Grozny Rodina Moscow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.39 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akhmat Grozny 39 / 100
Rodina Moscow 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akhmat Grozny Rodina Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akhmat Grozny Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rodina Moscow conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Akhmat Grozny scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Rodina Moscow registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Solid form: Akhmat Grozny remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Akhmat Grozny VS Rodina Moscow
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Akhmat Grozny

(Home)
18 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 2
Akhmat Grozny
14 Oct
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 2
Dynamo Moscow
11 Oct
Akhmat Grozny
0 : 0
Baltika
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
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Rodina Moscow

(Away)
19 Oct
Rodina Moscow
2 : 2
Orenburg
15 Oct
Rodina Moscow
2 : 4
Spartak Moscow
11 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 0
Rodina Moscow
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Moscow 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Zenit St Petersburg 11 8 0 3 25:13 24
3 Spartak Moscow 11 7 2 2 21:8 23
4 CSKA Moscow 11 6 4 1 19:12 22
5 Krasnodar 11 6 4 1 19:13 22
6 Orenburg 11 2 7 2 13:12 13
7 Baltika 11 3 4 4 14:12 13
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 11 4 1 6 16:21 13
9 FK Rostov 11 3 3 5 11:17 12
10 Rubin Kazan 11 2 6 3 12:16 12
11 Krylya Sovetov Samara 11 2 6 3 15:17 12
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 11 2 5 4 16:14 11
13 Akhmat Grozny 11 2 5 4 15:16 11
14 Akron Togliatti 11 1 6 4 12:20 9
15 Fakel Voronezh 11 1 3 7 8:19 6
16 Rodina Moscow 11 1 3 7 12:27 6
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)