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Akra vs Vag

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Erklev A.
50' Event
Mo R.
58' Event
Mo R.

AI Match Summary

Akra in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Akra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Akra
15%
Draws
42%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Vag have won more games recently than Akra.
  • Model gives Vag a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Akra Clean Sheet 10%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akra Vag
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.79
Goals Conceded 3.17 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Akra
3:2
Apr 11, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Akra vs Vag
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akra Compare

Top Goalscorer Mo R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Erklev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akra 26 / 100
Vag 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akra Vag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Akra scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Vag has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Akra VS Vag
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Akra

(Home)
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
30 Aug
Akra
1 : 4
Flekkeroy
15 Aug
Vindbjart
6 : 0
Akra
07 Aug
Akra
1 : 2
Varhaug
01 Aug
Staal Jorpeland
3 : 4
Akra
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Vag

(Away)
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
30 Aug
Hinna
3 : 0
Vag
22 Aug
Vag
2 : 5
Egersund
15 Aug
Vag
1 : 2
Mandalskameratene
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
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