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Akra vs Vag

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Erklev A.
50' Event
Mo R.
58' Event
Mo R.

AI Match Summary

Akra in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Akra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Akra
11%
Draws
80%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Vag have won more games recently than Akra.
  • Model gives Vag a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Akra Clean Sheet 10%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akra Vag
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 5 2
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Akra vs Vag
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akra Compare

Top Goalscorer Mo R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vag Compare

Top Goalscorer Erklev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akra 10 / 100
Vag 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akra Vag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vag's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Akra's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Akra remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Akra VS Vag
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%