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Akragas vs Siracusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Sun, Apr 13, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Akragas host Siracusa in the Serie D - Group I 2024/2025. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Akragas at 0.57 goals for, 1.7 against; Siracusa at 1.57 for, 1.3 against. Head-to-head, Akragas have won 0 to Siracusa's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.24, favoring Siracusa. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Akragas
30%
Draws
64%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Siracusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siracusa come out ahead of Akragas on wins alone.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Siracusa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Akragas Clean Sheet 19%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akragas Siracusa
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.57 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Siracusa
0:0
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Akragas
5:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Akragas
4:0
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Siracusa
0:2
Feb 11, 2018 Serie C - Group C
Siracusa vs Akragas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akragas 32 / 100
Siracusa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akragas Siracusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siracusa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siracusa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Akragas's goal record stands at 39% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Akragas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Siracusa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Akragas

(Home)
09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0
Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0
AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0
Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2
S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1
Akragas
Page 1 of 5

Siracusa

(Away)
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)