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Akranes vs Breidablik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akranesvöllur, Akranes
Akranes Logo

Akranes

4 - 1
FT
Breidablik Logo

Breidablik

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Eyjolfsson G.
43' Event
Jonsson V.
Assist: Haraldsson H.
46'
Sub
Hallsson G. In: Einarsson V.
Out: Hallsson G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Akranes and Breidablik finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akranes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Akranes
20%
Draws
34%
Breidablik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Akranes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Akranes haven't matched Breidablik's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Akranes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Akranes Clean Sheet 68%
Breidablik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akranes Breidablik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.07 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Breidablik
4:1
Jul 4, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Breidablik
1:2
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Akranes
1:0
Sep 11, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Breidablik
3:0
May 29, 2025 Besta deild karla
Breidablik vs Akranes
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsson V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eyjolfsson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Breidablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorsteinsson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akranes 95 / 100
Breidablik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akranes Breidablik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akranes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akranes scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Breidablik let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Akranes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Akranes VS Breidablik
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Akranes

(Home)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

Breidablik

(Away)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
11 Sept
Afturelding
1 : 2
Breidablik
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 24 18 5 1 73:23 59
2 KR Reykjavik 24 14 5 5 80:52 47
3 Fram 24 13 7 4 59:47 46
4 Breidablik 24 9 6 9 47:46 33
5 Akranes 24 9 6 9 44:47 33
6 Keflavik 24 8 5 11 36:44 29
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)