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Akranes vs Hafnarfjordur

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akranesvöllur, Akranes
Akranes Logo

Akranes

1 - 1
FT
Hafnarfjordur Logo

Hafnarfjordur

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Bodvarsson B.
23'
Jonsson V.
31'
Haraldsson H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Akranes and Hafnarfjordur finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Akranes
30%
Draws
39%
Hafnarfjordur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Akranes come out ahead of Hafnarfjordur on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Akranes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Akranes Clean Sheet 17%
Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akranes Hafnarfjordur
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Hafnarfjordur
1:1
May 29, 2026 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Akranes
0:1
Aug 11, 2025 Besta deild karla
Hafnarfjordur vs Akranes
3:2
May 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Hafnarfjordur
1:3
Oct 6, 2024 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Hafnarfjordur
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Eyjolfsson G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Agnarsson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akranes 36 / 100
Hafnarfjordur 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akranes Hafnarfjordur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akranes's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hafnarfjordur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Akranes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Akranes VS Hafnarfjordur
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Akranes

(Home)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

Hafnarfjordur

(Away)
20 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
5 : 2
Stjarnan
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)