Sport Picks
Akranes vs KA Akureyri Prediction & H2H Stats
Iceland
Besta deild karla Akranesvöllur, Akranes 
Match Events
32'
32'
Ellertsson M. P.
Assist: Eyjolfsson G.
46'
46'
Sub
Eyjolfsson G. In: Gudjonsson I.
Out: Eyjolfsson G.
60'
60'
Djuric D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akranes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Akranes have won more games recently than KA Akureyri.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Akranes taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Akranes Clean Sheet 16%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Akranes | KA Akureyri |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Akranes
3:2
Apr 22, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs KA Akureyri
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Akranes
5:1
Jul 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Akranes
2:0
May 4, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs KA Akureyri
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Akranes Compare
Top Goalscorer Ellertsson M. P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
KA Akureyri Compare
Top Goalscorer Montiel D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Akranes 39 / 100
KA Akureyri 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Akranes KA Akureyri
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Akranes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Akranes scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: KA Akureyri conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Akranes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Akranes VS KA Akureyri
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Akranes
(Home) 20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1 Breidablik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1 Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1 KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2 Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1 Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1 Breidablik
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1 KR Reykjavik
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1 Hafnarfjordur
09 Aug
Akranes
2 : 0 Thor Akureyri
02 Aug
Akranes
2 : 2 Vikingur Reykjavik
Page 1 of 4
KA Akureyri
(Away) 19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0 Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0 KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1 Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2 KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5 KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0 KA Akureyri
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2 KA Akureyri
17 Aug
Valur
4 : 4 KA Akureyri
05 Aug
Keflavik
3 : 0 KA Akureyri
19 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 : 2 KA Akureyri
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 67:21 | 53 |
| 2 | Fram | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 56:42 | 45 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 74:49 | 44 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 43:41 | 30 |
| 5 | Akranes | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 39:41 | 30 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33:38 | 28 |
| 7 | Stjarnan | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 42:50 | 28 |
| 8 | Valur | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 39:45 | 27 |
| 9 | Hafnarfjordur | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 27:39 | 21 |
| 10 | Thor Akureyri | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:50 | 21 |
| 11 | KA Akureyri | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 35:48 | 20 |
| 12 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 32:45 | 18 |
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)
