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Akranes vs Keflavik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akranesvöllur, Akranes
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Akranes host Keflavik in the Besta deild karla. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Akranes at 2.03 goals for, 1.83 against; Keflavik at 1.69 for, 1.86 against. Head-to-head, Akranes have won 0 to Keflavik's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2026, ending 5:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.44) point toward Keflavik. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Akranes
30%
Draws
23%
Keflavik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akranes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Keflavik haven't matched Akranes's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Akranes taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Keflavik have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Akranes Clean Sheet 16%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akranes Keflavik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Akranes
5:2
May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Keflavik
1:3
May 16, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Keflavik vs Akranes
3:1
Apr 19, 2023 Icelandic Cup
Keflavik vs Akranes
1:0
Oct 2, 2022 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Akranes
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akranes 66 / 100
Keflavik 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akranes Keflavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akranes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akranes scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Keflavik has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Solid form: Akranes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Akranes VS Keflavik
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Akranes

(Home)
20 Sept
Akranes
4 : 1
Breidablik
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
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Keflavik

(Away)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
14 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
4 : 1
Keflavik
05 Sept
Keflavik
1 : 2
Valur
30 Aug
Hafnarfjordur
2 : 1
Keflavik
23 Aug
Keflavik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 24 18 5 1 73:23 59
2 KR Reykjavik 24 14 5 5 80:52 47
3 Fram 24 13 7 4 59:47 46
4 Breidablik 24 9 6 9 47:46 33
5 Akranes 24 9 6 9 44:47 33
6 Keflavik 24 8 5 11 36:44 29
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