Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Akranes vs KR Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akranesvöllur, Akranes
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Jonsson V.
41'
Tomasson H.
46'
Sub
Akoto M. In: Rae L.
Out: Akoto M.

AI Match Summary

Akranes in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Akranes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Akranes
35%
Draws
32%
KR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Akranes haven't matched KR Reykjavik's recent run of results.
  • Akranes are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Akranes Clean Sheet 10%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akranes KR Reykjavik
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2 3.34
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Akranes
5:1
Sep 6, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs KR Reykjavik
3:1
Jun 22, 2026 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Akranes
5:3
Sep 27, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs KR Reykjavik
3:2
Jul 14, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs KR Reykjavik
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsson V.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Thordarson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akranes 47 / 100
KR Reykjavik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akranes KR Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akranes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Akranes scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

KR Reykjavik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Akranes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Akranes VS KR Reykjavik
2.25 Goals Scored 3.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Akranes

(Home)
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
30 Aug
Valur
2 : 2
Akranes
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
16 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 3
Akranes
Page 1 of 6

KR Reykjavik

(Away)
13 Sept
KR Reykjavik
5 : 1
Akranes
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
16 Aug
KR Reykjavik
3 : 3
Breidablik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)