Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Akranes vs Valur

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akranesvöllur, Akranes
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Berndsen B. In: Vall J.
Out: Berndsen B.
40' Event
Jonsson V.
50'
Palsson J.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Akranes and Valur finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Akranes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Akranes
30%
Draws
19%
Valur
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akranes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Valur haven't matched Akranes's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Akranes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Akranes Clean Sheet 15%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akranes Valur
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.97 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Valur
1:0
Feb 26, 2026 League Cup
Akranes vs Valur
2:1
Aug 5, 2025 Besta deild karla
Akranes vs Valur
2:2
May 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Akranes
6:1
Feb 15, 2025 League Cup
Akranes vs Valur
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akranes Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsson V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Valur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akranes 84 / 100
Valur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akranes Valur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akranes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Akranes scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Valur conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Akranes remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Akranes VS Valur
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Akranes

(Home)
23 Aug
Akranes
1 : 1
Hafnarfjordur
16 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 3
Akranes
09 Aug
Akranes
2 : 0
Thor Akureyri
02 Aug
Akranes
2 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik
26 Jul
Akranes
5 : 1
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

Valur

(Away)
23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0
Valur
17 Aug
Valur
4 : 4
KA Akureyri
13 Aug
Nordsjaelland
5 : 0
Valur
09 Aug
Breidablik
1 : 3
Valur
06 Aug
Valur
0 : 2
Nordsjaelland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 20 16 3 1 64:18 51
2 KR Reykjavik 20 13 4 3 72:45 43
3 Fram 19 12 4 3 48:35 40
4 Breidablik 19 8 6 5 39:33 30
5 Keflavik 20 8 4 8 31:34 28
6 Akranes 20 7 5 8 34:38 26
7 Stjarnan 20 7 3 10 38:48 24
8 Valur 20 7 2 11 35:42 23
9 Hafnarfjordur 20 3 9 8 25:37 18
10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 20 4 5 11 30:42 17
11 KA Akureyri 20 4 4 12 31:45 16
12 Thor Akureyri 20 4 3 13 20:50 15
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)