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Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov

Russia Russia

Premier League 2025/2026 Samara Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Shchetinin K.
39' Event
Mohebi M.
Assist: Shchetinin K.
42' Event
Sako O.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

FK Rostov in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Rostov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Akron Togliatti
30%
Draws
34%
FK Rostov
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akron Togliatti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Rostov lately — more wins on the board than Akron Togliatti.
  • Win probability leans Akron Togliatti's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Akron Togliatti Clean Sheet 17%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Akron Togliatti FK Rostov
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti
0:1
Mar 31, 2025 Premier League
Akron Togliatti vs FK Rostov
2:3
Feb 18, 2025 Club Friendly
FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Akron Togliatti
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Akron Togliatti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FK Rostov Compare

Top Goalscorer Shchetinin K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohebi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Akron Togliatti 36 / 100
FK Rostov 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Akron Togliatti FK Rostov

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akron Togliatti scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

FK Rostov let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Akron Togliatti has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Akron Togliatti VS FK Rostov
1.25 Goals Scored 1.57
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zenit St Petersburg30208253:1968
2Krasnodar30206460:2366
3Lokomotiv Moscow301411554:3953
4Spartak Moscow30157847:3952
5CSKA Moscow30156944:3351
6Baltika301113638:2146
7Dynamo Moscow30129951:4045
8Rubin Kazan301110929:3043
9Akhmat Grozny309101135:3937
10FK Rostov30891325:3233
11Krylya Sovetov Samara30881435:5032
12Orenburg30781529:4429
13Akron Togliatti30691535:5327
14Dynamo Makhachkala305111419:3726
15Pari Nizhny Novgorod30651926:5023
16PFC Sochi30642029:6022