Sport Picks
Aksakovo vs Chernomorets Balchik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - North-East game between Aksakovo and Chernomorets Balchik finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets Balchik.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernomorets Balchik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Aksakovo haven't matched Chernomorets Balchik's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Aksakovo taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Chernomorets Balchik here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets Balchik Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aksakovo | Chernomorets Balchik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 23 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 2.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.28 | 0.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Chernomorets Balchik
1:4
May 30, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Aksakovo
3:0
Dec 6, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Mar 1, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Chernomorets Balchik
0:3
Sep 11, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernomorets Balchik vs Aksakovo
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aksakovo 40 / 100
Chernomorets Balchik 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aksakovo Chernomorets Balchik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: Aksakovo scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Aksakovo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Chernomorets Balchik has conceded goals in 38% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Aksakovo VS Chernomorets Balchik
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aksakovo
(Home) 10 Oct
Aksakovo
6 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1 Aksakovo
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1 Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Aksakovo
6 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2 Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
24 May
Aksakovo
3 : 1 Fratria II
13 May
Aksakovo
0 : 1 Benkovski
Page 1 of 3
Chernomorets Balchik
(Away) 10 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 1 Volov Shumen
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3 Etar
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3 Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Cherno More II
0 : 1 Chernomorets Balchik
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0 Chernomorets Balchik
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4 Chernomorets Balchik
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Chernolomets | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Cherno More II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Benkovski | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:14 | 10 |
| 10 | FK Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 11 | Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 9 |
| 13 | Fratria II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17:29 | 4 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)
