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Aksakovo vs Svetkavitsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, May 2, 2026
3 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aksakovo host Svetkavitsa in the Third League - North-East. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Aksakovo have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Svetkavitsa's 0 scored and 3 conceded. Past meetings favor Aksakovo slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.06) point toward Aksakovo. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aksakovo
6%
Draws
4%
Svetkavitsa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aksakovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aksakovo come out ahead of Svetkavitsa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aksakovo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Aksakovo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 20%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksakovo Svetkavitsa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 0
Draws 4 1
Losses 17 29
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Svetkavitsa
3:0
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Aksakovo
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Aksakovo
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Svetkavitsa
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksakovo 85 / 100
Svetkavitsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksakovo Svetkavitsa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svetkavitsa has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Svetkavitsa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Aksakovo scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aksakovo VS Svetkavitsa
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291