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Aksaray Bld. vs Aliaga

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Yesil M.
Assist: Erturk M.
78' Event
Sarikaya M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between Aksaray Bld. and Aliaga finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Aksaray Bld.
35%
Draws
30%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aliaga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Aksaray Bld. a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aksaray Bld. Clean Sheet 10%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksaray Bld. Aliaga
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.47 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Aksaray Bld. vs Aliaga
1:1
Dec 16, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Aliaga vs Aksaray Bld.
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aksaray Bld. Compare

Top Goalscorer Yesil M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarikaya M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksaray Bld. 40 / 100
Aliaga 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksaray Bld. Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aksaray Bld. found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Aliaga let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Aksaray Bld. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aksaray Bld. VS Aliaga
0.75 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aksaray Bld.

(Home)
25 Apr
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
19 Apr
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Aliaga
12 Apr
Soma Spor
0 : 0
Aksaray Bld.
04 Apr
Aksaray Bld.
2 : 2
Ankara Demirspor
29 Mar
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Aksaray Bld.
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Aliaga

(Away)
04 May
Musspor
1 : 0
Aliaga
30 Apr
Aliaga
1 : 1
Musspor
25 Apr
Aliaga
0 : 5
Bursaspor
19 Apr
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Aliaga
12 Apr
Aliaga
5 : 0
Menemenspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 34 25 5 4 87:19 80
2 Mardin 1969 34 22 5 7 67:25 71
3 Musspor 34 21 7 6 82:35 70
4 Aliaga 34 21 6 7 81:32 69
5 K. Istklalspor 34 21 4 9 82:33 67
6 Isparta 32 Spor 34 18 9 7 70:36 63
7 Guzide Gebzespor 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
8 Menemenspor 34 15 6 13 57:51 51
9 Ankara Demirspor 34 14 7 13 47:47 49
10 Aksaray Bld. 34 11 14 9 52:38 47
11 Trabzon FK 34 13 8 13 54:51 47
12 Arnavutkoy Bl. 34 13 7 14 40:36 46
13 Fethiyespor 34 11 11 12 52:41 44
14 Kirklarelispor 34 9 9 16 44:49 36
15 Soma Spor 34 8 6 20 41:68 30
16 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 33 4 3 26 22:97 12
17 Adanaspor AS 33 2 1 30 14:159 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 0 2 32 8:114 -52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)