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Aksaray Bld. vs Arnavutkoy Bl.

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2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
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Match Events

90' Event
Sahin M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between Aksaray Bld. and Arnavutkoy Bl. finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arnavutkoy Bl..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aksaray Bld.
30%
Draws
28%
Arnavutkoy Bl.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aksaray Bld.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Arnavutkoy Bl. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Aksaray Bld. taking it.
  • Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Aksaray Bld. Clean Sheet 68%
Arnavutkoy Bl. Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksaray Bld. Arnavutkoy Bl.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Aksaray Bld. vs Arnavutkoy Bl.
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Aksaray Bld.
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Arnavutkoy Bl. vs Aksaray Bld.
1:3
Nov 3, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Aksaray Bld. vs Arnavutkoy Bl.
3:1
Feb 18, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Aksaray Bld. vs Arnavutkoy Bl.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aksaray Bld. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Arnavutkoy Bl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Sahin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksaray Bld. 95 / 100
Arnavutkoy Bl. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksaray Bld. Arnavutkoy Bl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aksaray Bld. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aksaray Bld. has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aksaray Bld. scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Arnavutkoy Bl.'s recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aksaray Bld. VS Arnavutkoy Bl.
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aksaray Bld.

(Home)
20 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Inegol Kafkas
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0
Kastamonuspor
06 Sept
Soma Spor
3 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
25 Apr
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
19 Apr
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Aliaga
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Arnavutkoy Bl.

(Away)
19 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
0 : 2
Corluspor
12 Sept
Guzide Gebzespor
1 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
06 Sept
Arnavutkoy Bl.
1 : 4
Aliaga
25 Apr
Arnavutkoy Bl.
2 : 0
Isparta 32 Spor
18 Apr
Adanaspor AS
0 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 34 25 5 4 87:19 80
2 Mardin 1969 34 22 5 7 67:25 71
3 Musspor 34 21 7 6 82:35 70
4 Aliaga 34 21 6 7 81:32 69
5 K. Istklalspor 34 21 4 9 82:33 67
6 Isparta 32 Spor 34 18 9 7 70:36 63
7 Guzide Gebzespor 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
8 Menemenspor 34 15 6 13 57:51 51
9 Ankara Demirspor 34 14 7 13 47:47 49
10 Aksaray Bld. 34 11 14 9 52:38 47
11 Trabzon FK 34 13 8 13 54:51 47
12 Arnavutkoy Bl. 34 13 7 14 40:36 46
13 Fethiyespor 34 11 11 12 52:41 44
14 Kirklarelispor 34 9 9 16 44:49 36
15 Soma Spor 34 8 6 20 41:68 30
16 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 33 4 3 26 22:97 12
17 Adanaspor AS 33 2 1 30 14:159 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 0 2 32 8:114 -52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)