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Aksaray Bld. vs Kastamonuspor Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Karahan B.
66' Event
Aslan E.
75' Event
Karahan B.
Assist: Deniz K.

AI Match Summary

Aksaray Bld. in this 2. Lig White Group matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aksaray Bld..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Aksaray Bld.
20%
Draws
22%
Kastamonuspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aksaray Bld.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Aksaray Bld. have won more games recently than Kastamonuspor.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Aksaray Bld. taking it.
  • Regular 2. Lig White Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kastamonuspor have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aksaray Bld. Clean Sheet 20%
Kastamonuspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aksaray Bld. Kastamonuspor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.72 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Aksaray Bld. vs Kastamonuspor
3:0
Mar 17, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Kastamonuspor vs Aksaray Bld.
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 2. Lig Red Group
Aksaray Bld. vs Kastamonuspor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aksaray Bld. Compare

Top Goalscorer Karahan B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aslan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Kastamonuspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aksaray Bld. 85 / 100
Kastamonuspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aksaray Bld. Kastamonuspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aksaray Bld. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kastamonuspor has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Aksaray Bld.'s goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aksaray Bld. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aksaray Bld. VS Kastamonuspor
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aksaray Bld.

(Home)
27 Sept
Musspor
3 : 2
Aksaray Bld.
20 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Inegol Kafkas
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0
Kastamonuspor
06 Sept
Soma Spor
3 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
25 Apr
Yeni Malatyaspor
0 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
Page 1 of 6

Kastamonuspor

(Away)
26 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
4 : 1
Kastamonuspor
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0
Kastamonuspor
06 Sept
Kastamonuspor
0 : 5
Corluspor
25 Apr
Kastamonuspor
0 : 3
Muglaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elazigspor 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 Musspor 4 3 1 0 14:7 10
3 Aliaga 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
4 Guzide Gebzespor 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
5 Corluspor 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
6 Erbaaspor 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
7 Inegol Kafkas 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
8 Soma Spor 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
9 Menemenspor 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
10 Aksaray Bld. 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
11 Sanliurfaspor 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
12 Isparta 32 Spor 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
13 Ankaraspor 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
14 Sebat Spor Kulubu 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
15 Arnavutkoy Bl. 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
16 Kastamonuspor 4 1 0 3 2:12 0
17 Hatayspor 4 1 1 2 2:3 -2
18 Adanademirspor 4 1 1 2 3:7 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)